According to Gartner's data, after global shipments fell by 3% in 2017, global PC, tablet and mobile phone shipments are expected to resume growth (+1.3%) in 2018, totaling 2.3 billion units.
Although shipments of these devices are fluctuating every year, end-user equipment spending is still growing and is expected to grow by 7% in 2018. Ranjit Atwal, research director at Gartner, said: "Despite the rising cost of equipment, the price of equipment has increased by 9.1% in 2017, and this trend will continue until this year, and we expect prices to rise by 5.6%."
Although the price of personal computers rose by 4.6% in 2018, the demand for the PC market will stabilize in 2018, driven by commercial purchases. The traditional PC market will decline by 3.9% in 2018, and is expected to be 2019. Decreased by 3.6% (see Table 1).
Regional markets recover at different speeds
Economic turmoil has affected the demand for equipment in different regions. Between 2013 and 2017, Argentina, Brazil, Japan and Russia lost nearly 25% of their equipment. Atwal said: "Although the speed of recovery varies from place to place, most types of equipment are now growing in these countries."
In countries suffering from severe economic turmoil, the extended service life of all equipment types tends to stagnate. “Therefore, as the market recovers, they will not be able to reach the unit sales they saw before, and will only recover to around 70% of these shipments by 2022,†Mr. Atwal added.
The lifespan of global mobile phones will be extended to 2020
Gartner predicts that global mobile phone shipments will grow by 1.6% by 2018, with nearly 1.9 billion mobile phone sales. In 2019, smartphone sales continued to grow, up 5% year-on-year.
Overall, Gartner estimates that the lifespan of mobile phones will increase from 2017 to 2020. "Because of the lack of new technology, users want to maintain these devices, so they will not upgrade, so the life expectancy of mobile phones is expected to increase the most recently," said Anshul Gupta, research director at Gartner.
“By 2020, artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities on smartphones will provide smarter digital roles for the device, and machine learning, biometrics and user behavior will improve ease of use, self-service and frictionless certification, which will enable Smartphones are more trusted than other credentials (such as credit cards, passports, ID cards or keys),†Gupta said.
Future AI features, including natural language processing and machine awareness (read all sensors), will allow smartphones to learn, plan and solve problems for users. “It's not just about making smartphones smarter, it's expanding the user base by reducing their cognitive load and making 'Digital Me' on the device,†Gupta said.
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